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A Shockingly Simple Momentum Indicator For Stock Trading

March 12th, 2010 by Ahmad Hassam | No Comments | Filed in Wealth Building

Trend trading is the one of the best and most profitable trading strategy used by many traders. Infact, spotting a trend at the right time and riding it till the end can make you rich. When you are trading a trend, you are intereste din knowing how fast the trend is changing or what you may call moving whether it is moving up or down. When the rate of change of a trend goes up, it means that the price action is soon going to follow suit and rise as well!

What we have been talking about is Momentum! Just like high school physics, momentum is the rate of change and is calculated by dividing the closing price today by the closing price ten days back and multiplying it by hundred.

This gives you the momentum indicator. If the prices didn’t go anywhere momentum indicator will be 100. If the prices went up, the momentum indicator will be greater than 100 and the prices went down, the momentum indicator will be less than 100. Now, a trend is expected to continue if the momentum indicator is greater than 100.

How do you know that the security prices will continue to rise in the future? By looking at the business fundamentals like the sales or profits, if you find them to be rising and accelerating at the same time the security price is rising,there is momentum behind this move! This momentum indicator tells you what is most likely to happen in the future not what happened in the past. So it is a leading indicator. You must have heard about momentum investing or you can even call it momentum trading. In momentum investing , you buy a security at a high price and sell it even at a more higher price unlike ordinary investing where you buy low and sell high. The trick is to know that the price will continue to rise when you do momentum investing.

However, in momentum investing, you search for stocks that have rising prices that are expected to continue for sometime. So you buy high and sell even higher within a few weeks making a decent profit. You can use that profit to do more investing. As said before, instead of investing in a security or a stock you can do momentum investing. When you are doing ordinary investing, you are waiting for its price to appreciate to give you a capital gain. This price appreciation might take from a few months to even years tying down your capital in that investing.

So when you are doing momentum investing, you are looking for a security or a stock that has a potential to move big. How long this big move might take to materialize? Well, the expectation is for the big move to happen in a few weeks to a few months. Just like in ordinary physics, when a ball is set in motion, it will continue moving unless stopped. This is what the Newton’s First Law says. You can expect a security price to keep on rising as long as something drastic doesn’t happen to stop that rise. So what can be that something drastic? It can be a sudden breaking news about the misdoings of the management that have not been known to the public before. I am just giving you one example. There can be more. So before you do your momentum investing, it is always better to do some fundamental research on the company. Remember the Dot Com Bubble that burst and hurt many people a decade back. Lot of people were doing momentum investing without doing fundamental research on the stocks that they were investing in. So you need to do some fundamental research as well to ascertain that the rise in prices of a stock are sustainable over the long haul or not.

Now just like price momentum that we have been talking about above, we can calculate the earnings momentum. Earning momentum is the province of the investors. The investor looks at the quarterly earnings of the company to see if it is going up at a faster pace say from a steady pace of 10% a year to 12% or 15% and so on. If the earnings growth rate is going up what this means is that the underlying price is also going to accelerate.

Mr. Ahmad Hassam has done Masters from Harvard University. Get this 49 page Quantum Swing Trading Report plus the shocking Profit Button Report that applies no matter what you trade- stocks, forex, futures or options FREE. Read the story of Richard Samuels, a post office mailman with a head injury and how he made a fortune with these Neutrino Forex Signals.

categories: forex,currency trading,stocks,trading,day trading, business,retirement,mutual funds,wealth building,real estate,etfs,money

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Profitable Candlestick Patterns-The Bullish White Marubozu-Bullish White Long Candlestick!

March 11th, 2010 by Ahmad Hassam | No Comments | Filed in Wealth Building

The most bullish of the candlestick pattern is the long white candle. It represents that day when bulls have been in total control of the market throughout the trading day pushing prices higher from the opening to the closing.

As prices rise through the day, sellers do come in but not enough to stop the prices from continuing to rise. When sellers do show up during the trading day, buyers buy from them and the prices move higher.

With the long white candle closing near the high of the day, this is an indication that the bulls aren’t done with their buying and will be back for more on the following day. What this means is that there wasn’t enough of the securities in the market to keep the buyers from pushing the prices higher.

In case of a true white Marubozu, the opening price is equal to the low of the day and the closing price is equal to the high for the day. Now, this might occur occasionally. For our purposes, a white candle may have some wick on its both ends. What this means is that the opening price in case of a long white candle will be close to the low of the day and the closing price will be close to the high for the day.

How do you know that this is indeed the white long candle? You wil find many bullish white candles on the chart. Off course, everyone will not be the white long candle. When you find that 90% of the area between the low and high of the day is covered by the candle body, you know that this is indeed a long white candle.

Now always remember, price action doesn’t move in one direction always. It retraces a little bit and then again starts moving in the previous direction. So when this retracement in price action takes place, you get the chance to trade the signal! When a long white candle is formed, it means that the price action had been intense throughout the day. This price action was covered in a very short period of time.

How to trade the long white candle? Now when you trade the bullish long white candle, you can take the low price as the support. This is the price level where the buyers step in thinking that the price is good now and start pushing it higher. What this means is that place your stop loss close to that level!

Now there are three variations to the long white candle. The long white Marubozu without any wick, this is the most bullish. The other is the closing white Marubozu. In this case, the close is equal to the high meaning there is no wick on the top. The other is the opening white Marubozu. In this case, the opening price is equal to the low meaning that there is no wick on the bottom.

Mr. Ahmad Hassam has done Masters from Harvard University. Master these Candlestick Patterns with this 82 page PDF FREE Candlestick Guide! Get this 49 page Quantum Swing Trading Report plus the powerful FOREX-4 PACK Training Kit and the Profit Button Report FREE just now!

categories: forex, stocks,stock market,mutual funds,investing,trading,day trading,etfs,retirement, business, finance,money

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Before Short Selling-Know These Shocking Facts

March 8th, 2010 by Ahmad Hassam | No Comments | Filed in Wealth Building

Many brokerage firms make it easy to sell short. When you place the order to sell a stock, the brokerage asks you whether you are selling shares you own or selling short. In case of short selling, the brokerage firm goes about borrowing the shares for you to sell. It loans the shares to your account and executes the sell order.

In some cases,a stock gets so much shorted that there are no more shares of that stock left for you or your broker to borrow anymore. Now, you cannot always short a stock instantly. Most of the investors work on rumors. In that case, you simple will have to cross your fingers and see how the other short sellers do on that stock while you search for another stock to short!

Day traders are not looking for long term fundamentals in order to go short. A day trader might go short on a stock that had go up for three consecutive days, figuring that they will go down on the fourth day. Day traders are only looking for stock that might go down in price for mundane reasons.

In simple words, once the stock starts to move down, you cannot short it. You will have to wait for its price to move up on the last trade, before your short selling order can be executed by the broker. Now, you cannot straight away short a stock as there are mechanisms in place employed by msot of the stock exchanges that don’t want a massive shorting attack on a stock. There is the famous Uptick Rule that has been put in place to prevent that from happening. What the Uptick Rule means is that you cannot short a stock unless it moves up on the last trade. This rule has been placed to prevent a stock from being driven down to almost zero by short sellers.

How much risky short selling can be? Well, in theory there is no stopping a stock price to reach the sky. So if you are wrong in your short selling decision, your loss can be catastrophic. But don’t worry, short sellers also use stop loss so if the price starts to move up, your position will get closed automatically by the stop loss order.

There is something known as Short Squeeze. A short squeeze happens when the stock of the company that you have shorted has some good news that drives the stock prices high. Now if this happens, many short sellers might lose money and even get margin calls. When they get desperate to buy back the stock, its prices go even higher hurting them more.

As said before, companies, investors and many brokers hate short sellers. They think that short sellers had intentionally driven down the stock prices. So sometimes, they will spread rumors of good news to create a momentary short squeeze. Sometimes, a campaign will be started by the owners of a particular stock instructing their brokers not to loan out their stocks to short sellers. So if you have already shorted that stock, you might get a call from your broker to return that stock immediately. In such a case, you will have to immediately return the stock even if it doesn’t make any sense to you!

Mr. Ahmad Hassam has done Masters from Harvard University. Read this 49 page Quantum Swing Trading FREE Report plus the shocking Profit Button Report that applies no matter what you trade-stocks, forex, futures or options! Turn $200 into $100K in just 3 months with this Penny Stock Trading FREE Report!

categories: forex,currency trading,stocks,trading,day trading,investing,business,finance,retirement,mutual funds,wealth building,options,real estate,etfs

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